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Dr Leanne Webb
Melbourne School of Land and Environment & CSIRO
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University of Melbourne Media Office
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The study is published today in the journal Nature Climate Change and was conducted by scientists from the University of Melbourne and the CSIRO.
Climate scientist and viticulturist Dr Leanne Webb based at the Melbourne School of Land and Environment and CSIRO said that while trends towards earlier ripening have been widely reported, a detailed study of the underlying causes of these shifts has not been previously undertaken.
"Changes to the timing of biological phenomena such as flowering and emergence of butterflies have been noted on many continents over recent decades. In some wine-growing regions such as southern Australia, grape maturation dates have advanced about eight days per decade, with earlier maturing potentially impacting wine-grape quality and regional branding,” Dr Webb said.
"This has been a study of potential influences on wine-grape maturity trends on a continental scale. On average, over the period 1985-2009, early ripening of Australian wine grapes are equally attributable to climate warming, declines in soil water content, and lower crop yields. An additional influence from changing management practices is also likely."
Human-induced climate change is a driver of this grape response, given that previous studies have linked Australian temperature, and possibly rainfall to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations.
“The study will give wine growers a head start in developing adaptation strategies to meet evolving temperature and soil moisture shifts.”
“These strategies could include managing soil moisture content through increasing irrigation or mulching, vine rootstock choice, or managing crop yield.”
“This study analysed harvest diaries from southern Australia for periods of up to 64 years. In contrast to previous studies that use harvest dates to indicate grape maturity, the research team examined berry-sugar concentration records to detect the trends to earlier wine-grape ripening.”
“The study centred on 10 winegrowing sites in four states. These sites had records of observations for periods of more than 25 years. Nine of the ten sites had trends to earlier ripening. Only one Margaret River vineyard in Western Australia ripened later.”
“In addition to informing the wine industry of adaptation options, we believe our study is also relevant to many other agricultural and non-agricultural sectors where trends in timing of biological phases have been detected," Dr Webb said.
The paper was supported through the Australian Grape and Wine Research and Development Corporation and CSIRO's Climate Adaptation National Research Flagship. It was coauthored by Drs Penny Whetton, Jonas Bhend, Rebecca Darbyshire, Peter Briggs and Professor Snow Barlow.